Climate Letter #426

Four primary conclusions of the pope’s encyclical.  These contain arguments that are based on our best understanding of well-accepted prevailing facts.  Some of the facts originate with science, others with more ordinary observations.  Each of the conclusions follows up with a moral principle that should be easily recognized by anyone who has a basic sense of right and wrong.  I don’t see anything in this summary that is convenient for would-be opponents to attack other than the hard science, which is practically all taken directly from the latest IPCC report, and which they already attack.

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What do actual scientists say about the science reflected in the encyclical?  Those who were interviewed seem to be fine with it, except for some minor quibbles.  Michael Mann thought some of it could have been less conservative.  (Note the comment from Rick Santorum to the effect that nothing has changed at the Vatican since the time of Galileo and Copernicus.)
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Some thoughtful commentary by Chris Mooney, in the Washington Post.  In an unbiased way, he explains the underlying reasons why Americans are so conflicted by the pope’s message.
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An extreme heat event in the Southwest.  Things are tough, and we are still a few weeks away from the hottest time of year.
Renewed forecasting of record global temperatures expected for 2015.
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Huge toxic algal bloom along the west coast of North America.  This historic bloom reaches all the way up to Alaska, causing considerable damage to marine life.  It could very well be an effect of the enormous “blob” of warm water that persists in that corner of the Pacific Ocean.
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Climate science.  Some new things have been learned about the deep—really deep—carbon cycle, which should interest anyone who likes to follow the big picture of how things work over the very long term.
Carl

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