Climate Letter#1049

A summary of what was accomplished at the climate conference in Bonn.  ” The main achievement may have been cementing a firebreak to prevent the Trump administration from torching the whole process.”  Other than that the talks “made only incremental progress toward resolving disputes that have been lingering since the Paris Agreement of 2015.”

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–Carbon Brief has a far more detailed accounting of a dozen key outcomes:
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On the possibility of a political consensus toward climate change forming in the US.  This is a fine article by David Roberts, writing for Vox, containing a link to another article on the same subject by Robinson Meyer for the Atlantic.  They both think the Democrats could put together a sensible program that would attract broad public support and support from a number of moderate Republican politicians as well, and are missing a huge opportunity by not doing so.
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New poll results show how Americans think and feel about climate change.  This survey from Yale and George Mason universities has been updated regularly since 2008 and is very comprehensive.  Americans have clearly been affected by all the extreme weather events in 2017, with a record 22% now saying they are “very worried.”  The number who will talk about it socially has risen but is still quite low.
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New record low bid for solar energy production contract.  A contractor from Italy bid 1.77 cents per kWh on two separate projects in an auction in Mexico.  “Green says the major factors contributing to these reduced costs are decreased financing costs, combined with reductions in PV module, inverter and other balance of system costs, due to increased volumes, streamlining of processes and improved module conversion efficiency.”  Some people are looking for bid prices below one cent in just a few years.  (There is still a separate need for partial storage not included.)
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How a period of rapid warming in the distant past caused massive increases in flooding events.  Researchers have found a way to show exactly what happened 56 million years ago when temperatures rose by 4C or more over a period of five to ten thousand years.  “From records of the PETM, like this one, it has become very clear that global warming causes major changes in the patterns and intensity of rainfall events. These changes are so large that we see evidence of them in the geological record, as a many-fold increase in the mass of sediments transported from land to the oceans.”

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