One last word about Round Two—
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The Round Two concept is a terrible idea, best forgotten. Here’s why. The potential for causing havoc is real enough, as cited in the literature, and is a legitimate cause for concern, but the uncertainties that surround this potential, also much-cited, are equally real. Most of the uncertainties have a bearing on how it develops and on both the timing and final extent of the worst effects, which could occur in this century, or the next, or somewhere beyond. No one really knows.
We do know a great deal about Round One and its projected effects on people living in this century, including some unfortunate folks already affected. Whatever we can do to limit the burdens of Round One will also be of some help to those who inhabit any future time frame. Quite a bit of action is urgently required toward that end, and there is no doubt that having tangible goals and allowable budgets in mind is of benefit for setting action policies. Even if the 2C goal cannot be sustained forever, any meaningful delay of its actual arrival will ease many burdens on those now living. It’s a good thing we have it. It would help even more if someone could establish a more clearly defined base period and base temperature that cannot be tinkered with, as recently experienced.
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Joe Romm comments on recent super heat waves in the US and Europe and what they portend.
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A new study looks at the consequences of higher temperatures on future heat waves. In a 2C world the most alarming results appear in the tropics, which was a surprising discovery.
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Climate policy in the US has been taken over by radical right-wing politicians backed by the money and scheming of vested interests. A new book, reviewed in this post, explains how it was done. The author believes this could be stopped by a public majority that thinks otherwise, if only they fully understood what was going on.
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The economic costs in the US of severe weather events due to climate change have been calculated. Prior to the three recent hurricanes they averaged $240 billion per year for a decade and are projected to be much higher over the next decade, consuming a good share of annual growth.
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From Yale e360, a report on dam-building projects in the Amazon basin that will transform many lives and the environment. Other, more attractive sources of energy are being pushed aside by the interests that seek these projects.
Carl