Climate Letter #964

In Kenya, a way of life is being lost to climate change.  This is a very moving story about cattle herders who have been living on the edge of sustainability for centuries but are now endangered by rising heat and drought.

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How humans are handing the existential risks of climate change at the political level.  The authors of this analysis have a number of ideas and observations that I believe are right on target.  Near the end of the story you can find the results of a global survey that show how far ahead public opinion has gotten, and is thus so improperly served.
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An annotated edition of the New York magazine article about “The Uninhabitable Earth.”  The original version, written by David Wallace-Wells, was posted here in CL#954.  It has drawn a huge amount of attention, including criticism for a few explanatory flaws.  This edition has been cleaned up but has not lost any of its original punch, which was designed to reflect the worst fears of a number of top-level scientists, fears that do not often get the amount of attention they deserve.  It provides a pretty good description of reasonable forecasts of what lies ahead but in most cases can still be prevented if suitable corrective actions are taken.  There are some interesting sidebar links to check out.
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The idea of “suitable corrective action” more and more gets pointed toward geoengineering.  The head of the International Energy Agency sees little if any global abatement in fossil fuel burning and thinks the whole idea of “clean coal” is dead.  The remaining options are all about geoengineering, with primary emphasis on technology for capturing carbon directly from the air.  We are likely to soon see announcements of heavy government funding in support of private industry development efforts toward that end.
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A climate reporter digs into obscure sets of statistics about the burning of fossil fuels.  What he finds is basically consistent with what the head of the IEA says in the story above.  The actual amount of burning declined just once in the past 26 years, during the great recession of 2009, and dependency remains as great as ever.
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A bit of levity.  As global temperatures heat up populations will be heading north to enjoy the milder weather and farming opportunities.  Here is the outlook for Siberia, based on actual scientific studies.  It is not completely favorable.
Carl

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