Climate Letter #961

This is one of the world’s five most vulnerable countries to climate change.  South Sudan, with a population of around 11 million, experiences climate change 2.5 times quicker than the global average.  It has practically no capacity to adapt, or even to receive outside aid because of constant conflicts among tribes.  Illegal logging is one of the few sources of income, clearly unsustainable.

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Italy was fighting more than 1000 wildfires on Monday.  Low rainfall and high temperatures have provided the fueling.  The cities of Rome and Naples are within the danger zone, all of which is something we are not accustomed to hearing about.
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James Hansen and other scientists present their arguments about the need to avoid climate disaster.  This work is expressed in a peer-reviewed study based on future projections or forecasts that have reasonable scientific backing.  They place emphasis on the danger of a sea level rise of six to nine meters.  They also make estimates of the costs entailed in removing CO2 from the atmosphere, potentially an inescapable future remedy to temperature increases.  It is all connected to a pending lawsuit that has generated considerable publicity.
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An astute commentary on the Schroders report (see CL #959).  This editorial from BusinessGreen, based in London, provides added insights into the research work at Schroders and also wonders why the new report, which is really quite sensational, has been given so little publicity in the media.  “The new investor toolkit looks at a host of policy, investment and technology trends across 12 key themes and finds that not one area is delivering action in line with a 2C temperature pathway,” leaving us on track for 4.1C warming this century.
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Technologies are already on hand for sharply increasing electric grid efficiency and shaving peak demand, cost effectively.  A number of them are described in this post.
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New calculations show that limited nuclear warfare would cause dramatic changes in the global climate.  Not quite like the older concept of nuclear winter, an extended period of deep cooling and drought could occur with the power to cause an extra billion people to die.
Carl

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