Climate Letter #948

An update on the decline of Arctic sea ice extent.  The “race to the bottom” is now entering a two-month period of acceleration.  It finds this year about tied with the previous winner, 2012, and second place finisher from just last year.  2012 was aided by a series of fierce cyclones near the end that helped break up and move a lot of ice, an unpredictable happening at this stage, but 2017 is well-positioned to take over the #2 spot.

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Some new work shows that diminished cloud cover over Greenland causes much more melting of surface ice than does warmer air temperatures.  Cloud cover has been reduced for the past two decades because of natural causes that are hard to explain and not necessarily permanent.  Greenland’s total melt rate, due to both surface conditions and coastline glaciers, is currently the greatest source of influence on the rate of sea level rise.
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An essential guide to what must be done about emissions reduction, with reasons why.  This was produced by six individuals who are prominent and have the strongest kind of credentials.  It covers all of the basics, with emphasis on why it is important to get fully mobilized without further delay.  (The carbon budget is rapidly shrinking.)  They set up a list of goals that must be met by 2020, only three years away, that are strong but not unreasonably difficult, in order to properly turn the tide.  They insist on the need to have trust in science and listen to its advice.
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The G20 meeting next week will have climate change high on the agenda. The “Trump effect” has already caused a number of countries to step up their efforts while a few, like Russia and Saudi Arabia, may have other ideas to offer.  It should be quite lively and interesting.
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There are now 7400 cities around the world that have mayors who have lined up to do more about climate change.  That  number was much lower just a week or two ago.  An effort is going on for cities to get better organized and establish higher goals for all to strive for.  “We have the ability to still achieve between 35% and 45% CO2 emission reductions without the involvement of the national government.”
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Some states in the US are now requiring power companies to establish large-scale battery storage facilities, which will accommodate switches to renewable energy sources and reduce the need for gas-fired peaking units.
Carl

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