China’s great leap forward in carbon emissions is closely linked to the growth of its Westernized lifestyle. A new study tells how the wealthy class is especially responsible, but it begins with the rural poor moving into the cities at the rate of 20 million per year, where they find better jobs. People in India have the same aspirations. According to this study, “We would need the resources of three more planets like Earth in order for those aspirations to be fulfilled.”
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Comment: Environmentally speaking, since we only have one planet, one of the problems with the Western lifestyle, aside from its widespread attraction, is that everywhere you look once people get started moving up they never want to stop.
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How accurate are climate models? Near the beginning of this post from an AGU meeting is a brief video comparing data charts of a number of early temperature prediction models with actual results. The models were amazingly accurate, except for a small group represented by noted contrarians. Keep in mind that 2016 was an exceptional year because of the strong El Nino, sending it temporarily off trend by about 0.2 degree.
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How military leaders, including those from the US, foresee the problems of mass migration to be caused by climate change. The numbers they talk about, and the potential for conflicts, are considered “unimaginable.” General Cheney no doubt represents a solid majority of US military leaders, or his career would be in jeopardy by talking this way in public. This is what the new president will be hearing if he chooses to attend the briefings.
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The area of Arctic sea ice coverage dropped for three days after December 20. This rare mid-winter event was occasioned by the extreme warm spell, set up first by the thinning and weakening that occurred during the summer. The brief video shows how summer warming effects have changed since 1990.
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Temperatures in Siberia recently dropped to minus 62C, equal to minus 80F. The Siberian Times has some good pictures of what life is like under such conditions. (Actually there is much to love.) The cold air got pushed in when the higher Arctic was experiencing its heatwave.
Carl