Climate Letter #617

A new story about the insecurity of life in the far North.  This one puts emphasis on the problem of acquiring enough food.  One is left wondering whether there is any way for humans and various forms of wildlife to successfully adapt to the new circumstances, with reasons to be doubtful.

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Global emissions from energy use have been flat for two consecutive years.  This is good news because economies have nevertheless been growing.  Still, there is also the fact that things are quite different in the atmosphere, where CO2 grew by a record amount last year, not good news at all.  Extra growth of about 1 ppm has to be accounted for from other sources, such as increases in deforestation, drought and wildfires.  Warmer ocean surfaces are known to absorb less CO2 than cold ones.  What other sinks may have failed to take up CO2 as much as usual?
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Did our early ancestors have a significant role in climate-changing activities before the fossil fuel era?  Bill Ruddiman is a well-known scientist who has devoted much of his career to this subject.  Here he shows how the scientific community has swung from opposition to acceptance of many of his theories.  Early agricultural societies basically kept the climate stable when it otherwise would have been trending toward a cooler state.
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New US poll shows rising concern over climate change.  This poll, by Gallup, has a history dating back to 1989.  The beliefs are very cyclical, and otherwise have no major long-term trend.  The two major political parties are still far apart, with independent voters exactly in the middle.  Gallup should be asking to see how many are concerned enough to make a difference in the way they vote, so the candidates would know if it is a real enough issue to be considered.  (Other polls generally give that a low priority.)
In Australia a similar poll with a 7-year history found public opinion at record new high levels of 63%, as noted within this report (along with many other things.)
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Meanwhile, the new Canadian Primate Minister is saying that addressing climate change provides incredible opportunities for creating new industries and new jobs.  That’s an enlightened view that I think most economists would agree with, nice to hear from the leader of a nation loaded with fossil fuel resources and interests.
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An extensive report on the environmental record of the new Supreme Court nominee.  He is very much mainstream, which is acceptable to environmentalists but not to the special interest groups that can influence the approval process.
Carl

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