Climate Letter #594

Posted on February 16, 2016 by Carl Campbell
January set another record high temperature for the history of that month.  NASA data shows it up 1.13C using a baseline of 1951-1980.  (It would  be close to 1.5C with a pre-industrial baseline.)   Effects were especially severe in the Arctic region, where the anomaly was over 7C and sea ice extent has been recording frequent substantial drops from normal.  This post contains four graphs that are worth a good look.  Note that January on the Antarctic continent was colder than the baseline average.

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Why humans are so complacent about the urgent side of climate change.  This is one of the better articles covering the subject in a succinct way.  It’s something every reader should regularly stop and think about.  The problem is that avoiding a catastrophic ending will take decades of concentrated effort to convert in advance to a whole new energy system, and the allotted time we’ve been given is growing short.  Moreover, there are no good shortcuts available to make up for time lost by delaying.  Meanwhile there is the presence of well-funded resistance that is adept at holding back what would be the best efforts of policy makers. One thing that can change that, apart from dramatic natural events, would be pressure from an informed public, that has somehow gotten its mind around the warnings from science.  And how is that going to come about?
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What happens with public action if we wait too long?  There are people who actually think about it and write reports.  Here is one that was just written, mostly dealing with matters of economic disruption, which is kind of ironic.  “But if governments dither and are then forced to green their economies in a rush, the study warns that banks which are exposed to ‘carbon-intensive’ or CO2-heavy assets could face systemic risks.”  So, when should we expect this “event,” or whatever, that would stimulate the sudden panic?  I have a feeling it will be less than decades, maybe much less, because of the way extreme things have been happening to weather systems lately.
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The utility backlash is getting really serious.  This report, with a focus on Nevada, perfectly illustrates the power that big corporations can have over government agencies.  Power companies are indeed threatened by a meaningful loss of revenues, and some, though not all, are now joining forces with the fossil fuel producers.
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Growing interest in solar towers plus built-in storage for commercial electricity production.  The world’s first such plant, located in Spain, has been overcoming obstacles and operating successfully for nearly five years.  The new generation, with many improvements, will be able to provide non-stop electricity year around in favorable locations, and is expected to reap a good share of the global market over the next 25 years.
Carl

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